Postseason · Monday, December 30, 2019
W 38–28
vs Mississippi State
Nissan Stadium · 46,850 in attendance · ESPNRM
Line score
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 38 |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 28 |
Pregame odds · upset
38%
Win expectancy
81.4%
Excitement index
5.03
Elo after
1405 (+47)
Weather
53° Fair
Betting
Spread
LOU +4.5
Against the spread
COVER
Total
64.5
Result
OVER 66
Closing line from consensus · Mississippi State -4.5. Lines are on record from 2013 on.
Team Stats
Louisville left, Mississippi State right.
LouisvilleMississippi State
511Total yards366
312Passing221
199Rushing145
23First downs23
6-11Third down4-11
6-50Penalties2-20
1Turnovers2
28:27Possession28:26
Drives
Every possession, in order. Bar position is field position; length is yards gained.
Louisvilleopponentown goal line → opponent goal line
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
23 drives · a light edge marks a scoring drive
Box Score
Passing
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Cunningham | 16/23 | 279 | 2 | 0 |
| Chatarius Atwell | 1/2 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| Tommy Stevens | 17/26 | 221 | 2 | 0 |
Rushing
| Player | CAR | YDS | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javian Hawkins | 23 | 105 | 1 | 24 |
| Malik Cunningham | 16 | 81 | 0 | 23 |
| Chatarius Atwell | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Hassan Hall | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Tommy Stevens | 17 | 71 | 1 | 24 |
| Nick Gibson | 8 | 54 | 1 | 19 |
| Lee Witherspoon | 4 | 17 | 0 | 11 |
| Kylin Hill | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Receiving
| Player | REC | YDS | TD | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chatarius Atwell | 9 | 147 | 0 | 25 |
| Marshon Ford | 3 | 53 | 2 | 33 |
| Dez Fitzpatrick | 2 | 37 | 0 | 24 |
| Justin Marshall | 1 | 29 | 0 | 29 |
| Devante Peete | 1 | 24 | 1 | 24 |
| Jordan Davis | 1 | 22 | 0 | 22 |
| Stephen Guidry | 6 | 76 | 1 | 20 |
| Osirus Mitchell | 2 | 47 | 1 | 24 |
| JaVonta Payton | 2 | 39 | 0 | 27 |
| Farrod Green | 3 | 23 | 0 | 16 |
| Geor'quarius Spivey | 1 | 13 | 0 | 13 |
| Deddrick Thomas | 1 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| Nick Gibson | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Kylin Hill | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
Defense
| Player | TOT | SACKS | TFL | QB HUR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Avery | 9 | 2 | 2.5 | 0 |
| Cornelius Sturghill | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khane Pass | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Isaiah Hayes | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Boosie Whitlow | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Marlon Character Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Amonte Caban | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Dorian Etheridge | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T.J. Holl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasir Abdullah | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tabarious Peterson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Gary McCrae | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Fagot | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G.G. Robinson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Goldwire | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Murphy | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaquarius Landrews | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Jones | 4 | 2 | 3.5 | 0 |
| Chauncey Rivers | 3 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fabien Lovett | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Lee Autry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marquiss Spencer | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Kendell Jones | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Tyler Williams | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathaniel Watson | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Pickering | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fred Peters | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Leo Lewis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Landon Guidry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Brule | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jarrian Jones | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Advanced
Efficiency by quarter, garbage time included as played.
Predicted points added / play
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.24 |
| Mississippi State | 0.30 | 0.35 | -0.27 | 0.48 | 0.29 |
Success rate
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 69% | 50% | 35% | 57% | 51% |
| Mississippi State | 43% | 64% | 20% | 60% | 51% |
Explosiveness
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 0.28 | 1.27 | 2.47 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Mississippi State | 1.19 | 1.10 | 0.61 | 1.26 | 1.16 |
LOUMISSISSIPPI
Scoring opps8 · 3.5 pts4 · 7.0 pts
Havoc rate15.9%20.3%
Avg start63.479.2
Stuff rate28%21%
Most valuable plays
Chatarius Atwell WR+16.9
Malik Cunningham QB+16.2
Tommy Stevens QB+14.6
Stephen Guidry WR+7.7
Nick Gibson RB+6.2
Marshon Ford TE+5.2
Cumulative predicted points added across the game.
Every Play
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