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Head coach · Louisville 1998–2002

John Smith

41–21at Louisville

Career 83–73 (53.2%) at 4 programs, 1995–2012

Win rate
66.1%
5th of 13 Louisville coaches
vs Ranked
3–5
1–1 vs the top 10
Bowls
1–4
5 trips
Weeks ranked
10
peak #17 · 1 final top 25

Among Louisville's full-time coaches: Win rate 5th/13 · Ranked wins 3rd/13 · Bowl wins 5th/13 · Weeks ranked 5th/13 · NFL picks a year 5th/13 · Average SP+ 5th/12

Every Stop

Smith's head-coaching career, program by program. Louisville against everywhere else; SRS shows the team Smith inherited against the one left behind.

ProgramYearsRecordWin %ConfBowlsWks rankedPeakAvg SP+SRS in → outNFL picks
Utah StateUtah StateBig West1995–9716–1847.1%12–50–1——−4.0−14.4 → −1.30
LouisvilleLouisvilleConference USA1998–0241–2166.1%29–111–410#17+8.0−16.7 → +1.28
Michigan StateMichigan StateBig Ten2003–0622–2645.8%12–200–112#9+6.9−4.6 → −2.512
ArkansasArkansasSEC20124–833.3%2–6—2#8+11.6+16.1 → +2.64
At Louisville
66.1%
41–21 · 5 seasons
Everywhere else
44.7%
42–52 · Utah State, Michigan State, Arkansas
LouisvilleElsewherePartial season
100%50%0%
Utah State95–97
Louisville98–02
Michigan State03–06
Arkansas2012

Share of games won. The dashed line is .500. Tap a season for its numbers.

What the Numbers Say

Measured from every Louisville game Smith coached, plus CFBD's ratings, polls, recruiting, and draft data. Red marks a strength, steel a weakness.

Louisville vs. everywhere else
66% vs 45%

41–21 at Louisville; 42–52 at Utah State, Michigan State, Arkansas.

Year one
+6 wins

1998 against the team inherited: +22.5 SP+, +14.6 SRS.

Inherited → left
1–10 → 7–6

Louisville went 1–10 the year before Smith arrived (1997); 2002 finished 7–6.

Against ranked teams
3–5

Opponents ranked at kickoff; 3 wins in 8 tries. Best: #4 Florida State, 26–20 (2002).

The week after a ranked win
2–0

The next game after beating a ranked opponent. Never lost it.

One-score games
10–9

53% in games decided by 8 points or fewer.

November
73% vs 69%

11–4 in regular-season games from November on; 29–13 before.

Recruited vs. played
#50 → #19

Average recruiting class rank against average SP+ finish, 3 Louisville seasons.

NFL Draft
8 picks

0 in the first round, in the drafts after 5 Louisville seasons (1.6 a year).

In the polls
10 weeks

Peaked at #17. 1 final top-25 finish.

Governor's Cup
3–2

Against Kentucky, 5 meetings.

Situational Record

The Louisville record cut every way the data allows. Ranks are the poll at kickoff; favorites come from the betting line, which starts in 2013.

Where

At home24–875%
On the road16–964%
Neutral sites1–420%

Who

vs. ranked teams3–538%
vs. the top 101–150%
Conference games29–1173%
Non-conference12–667%
vs. Kentucky3–260%

When

September–October29–1369%
November on11–473%
Bowl games1–420%

Expectations

While ranked3–260%
Decided by 8 or fewer10–953%

The next week

Game after a loss12–571%
Game after a ranked win2–0100%

The Week After

Every win over a ranked team, and the game that came next: 2–0 in the follow-up.

Best Wins, Worst Losses

Best wins lead with ranked opponents, then bowls. Worst losses are the upsets: losing as the betting favorite (2013 on), as a ranked team to an unranked one, or to a lower-division opponent.

Every Game

All 62 Louisville games under Smith, one tile each. Longest winning streak: 7; longest losing streak: 2. Tap a tile for the game.

1998
7–5
1999
7–5
2000
9–3
2001
11–2
2002
7–6

win lossranked opponent bowl game

Season by Season

Every season of the career. Louisville rows are marked in red.

YearTeamRecordConfBowlFinalSP+SRSRecruitingNFL picks
2012Arkansas4–82–6——+11.6+2.6#274
2006Michigan State4–81–7——−1.3−2.5#443
2005Michigan State5–62–6——+12.9+11.1#343
2004Michigan State5–74–4——+4.9+4.2#154
2003Michigan State8–55–30–1—+11.1+8.2#682
2002Louisville7–67–40–1—+3.1+1.2#544
2001Louisville11–28–21–0#17+14.0+9.8#511
2000Louisville9–36–10–1—+10.8+5.3#441
1999Louisville7–54–20–1—+11.4+7.3—2
1998Louisville7–54–20–1—+0.8−2.1—0
1997Utah State6–64–10–1—+2.1−1.3—0
1996Utah State6–54–1——−7.0−8.6—0
1995Utah State4–74–3——−7.1−10.5—0

Careers from CFBD's coaching records, which cover FBS seasons from 1962 on. Louisville games come from the game archive, credited to whoever coached them. Recruiting is the team's class rank that year; NFL picks are the draft that followed the season.